Unconventional Cloud Predictions for 2013 – Executive Viewpoint 2013 Prediction from Adaptive Computing

December 13, 2012 Off By David
Grazed from Virtual Strategy Magazine.  Author: Robert Clyde.

2013 will be an exciting year for cloud computing for all the obvious reasons: exponential growth, new technologies, greater understanding, etc. Rather than repeat the obvious, I would like to make three predictions that are perhaps a little more controversial, or at least less obvious:

Bare-metal Clouds Will Continue to Grow

We tend to think that virtualization is a requirement for cloud computing. This is not so. Many clouds, especially private clouds, utilize bare-metal hosts in addition to virtualized hosts. Some applications need the enhanced I/O or processing performance that comes from running on physical hardware. If these applications don’t require the benefits of virtualization (migration, multi-tenancy, etc.), a bare-metal deployment can be best. This trend will continue to grow, as organizations learn to choose the right platform for the right job. Cloud management systems with policy-based optimization can manage heterogeneous hosts inside a single cloud environment, deploying services on physical or virtual hosts as needed…

Cloudbursting Will Not Be Significant in 2013

While there is a lot of talk and hype about cloudbursting, I don’t believe it will be significant in 2013. The concept of moving workloads dynamically between private and public clouds sounds desirable, but is not terribly useful in practice. Some applications fit very well in public clouds, especially if they have bursty, fast growing, or otherwise unpredictable workloads. Other applications are unlikely to ever leave the private cloud for security or economic reasons. Applications are likely to be deployed at the outset in either the public cloud or the private cloud, depending on which environment is best for them. Since the reasons behind that placement decision usually don’t change over time, dynamic cloudbursting from private to public clouds is rarely useful. While policy-based cloud management platforms can conveniently manage this cloudbursting process, I don’t believe we’ll see much actual cloudbursting in 2013…

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